Space agencies raise risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth
The probability of a 2032 collision with the 50-meter asteroid has risen to 1.9%. However, ongoing calculations in the coming days and weeks may cause this estimate to fluctuate
The probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth is increasing. The European Space Agency (ESA) now estimates a 1.8% chance of impact on January 22, 2032, while NASA has revised its calculations slightly higher to 1.9%. Despite these adjustments, there remains a more than 98% likelihood that the asteroid will pass by without posing any threat. Previously, the estimated probability of impact stood at 1.2%.
